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Biden overtakes Trump in Arizona and gets closer to victory

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Opera Mundi – Democrat Joe Biden is closer to victory. He overtook President Donald Trump in counting the votes in Pennsylvania earlier this Friday morning. With 95% of the ballots counted, Biden had 5,587 more votes than the Republican at around 10:54 am. If the Democrat wins in the state, he will be closer to reaching the 270 electoral votes needed to become the next president of the United States.

A Biden victory in Pennsylvania would dispense with counting Arizona, a state given to the Democrat by some vehicles, while other media still consider him up for grabs.

Currently, Biden has 264 delegates (with Arizona) and Trump, 214. If Biden beat Pennsylvania, he would reach 284 electoral votes. Disregarding Arizona, a Biden victory in the state would give him 273 electoral votes. In both scenarios, the Democrat would be elected.

Arizona

Arizona is considered and disregarded in the forecast, as some media outlets have not yet given Biden status. Currently, the Democrat leads the poll with about 47,000 votes difference over Trump.

O Opera Mundi it has the following pattern: it assigns the status to one of the candidates after at least two US vehicles do so. In the case of Arizona, the state was given to Biden after confirmation from the Associated Press and the Fox News.

Other major news outlets, including major television networks, have not yet done so, pending further votes, mainly in the Phoenix area. O Opera Mundi notes that this year that broadcasters have been very conservative in their forecasts and continues to monitor the situation in Arizona, and monitors whether Fox News and Associated Press their projections change. So far, they keep the predictions. According to research, Biden had an advantage in the state.

Georgia

Democrat Joe Biden overtook President Donald Trump in polling Georgia in the early hours of Friday (6). With more than 98% of the ballots counted, Biden had 1,097 more votes than the Republican by 10:40 am this morning.

If Biden wins in Pennsylvania and Georgia, he would get 300 electoral votes, considering Arizona’s 11. Without taking into account the votes of this state, the Democrat would still win with 289 delegates.

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Economy

more unemployment and more informality

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São Paulo – Government, businessmen and some parliamentarians were in tune with the defense of the bill that, if approved, would lead to the creation of Law 13,467 in 2017. The so-called labor reform, after all, would lead to the creation of millions of jobs. This would happen to the extent that it would end the rigidity of the legislation, which they treated as being “plastered”, facilitating hiring and giving the much-needed “modernization” to the Brazilian labor market.

Because the law completed three years on November 11 “and nobody celebrated, not even timidly”, recalls analyst Marcos Verlaine, from the Inter-Union Department of Parliamentary Advisory (Diap). “Among the expectations generated by the authors, the government of that time, the businessmen, who sponsored, defended and acted strongly in Congress to approve it, the media and reality, remained the harsh reality”, he says, in an article. He defines the measure passed by Congress as a “capital Trojan horse” to implode labor rights.

Collective bargaining?

The insistent defense of the “negotiated over the legislature”, a recurring expression at the time, was not to privilege negotiation, notes the analyst. “It was to remove rights, since the negotiations – both CCT (ccollective labor agreements) and ACT (collective labor agreements) – they never prevented, on the contrary, that the conventions surpass the CLT, nor that the agreements surpass the conventions. ”

The “millions” of jobs did not come, even before the pandemic. The growth in occupation was basically due to informal work. In 2016, the year before the “reform”, the country had 10.1 million unpaid employees in the private sector and 22.4 million self-employed workers. Last year, they were 11.6 million and 24.2 million, respectively (check table). The data are from the National Household Sample Survey (Pnad) Continua, from IBGE.

Modernization or precariousness?

Employment with a wallet fell. And the Gini index at work, which measures inequality, which until 2015 fell, rose again the following year and has not stopped.

The “reform” introduced hiring modalities, such as intermittent work. They were also presented as items of the necessary “modernization”, but union members and researchers identify them as additional signs of precariousness in the market. Although still small, the participation of the intermittent modality has been growing.

This week, the Federal Supreme Court (STF) began to judge direct actions of unconstitutionality against intermittent work. In his vote, the rapporteur, Minister Edson Fachin, considered the item unconstitutional and causing damage to workers’ health. But his colleagues Kassio Nunes Marques and Alexandre Moraes were in favor of the sport. The trial was interrupted by a request for view from Minister Rosa Weber.

If it is impossible to revoke the law in its entirety, Verlaine suggests specific changes, citing intermittent hiring. “It is necessary to negotiate with all political and social actors in order to bring about changes in this scorched earth scenario” he argues.

read more: ‘Labor Reform’: Stories of a False Promise and Changes in ‘Endless Destruction’

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